Clinton, Romney run away with nevada

The results at the moment suggest Romney will destroy the feild, capturing 53% of the repulbican vote with the next candidates, RON PAUL (!!!) and John McCain, capturing a mere 13% of the vote. Landslide victories generate real momentum. If SC was next week for the republicans instead of today, Romney might run the table.

Clinton winning Nevada is damaging to Obama as Clinton has now won 3 states in a row and Obama is in danger of becoming a one-state wonder like Huckabee. Obama had prior to the election tried to downplay the Nevada election stating that Hillary's lead might be too much to overcome. On a promising note for Obama, Edwards got smoked, netting only 4% of the vote. That strongly suggests that Edwards is becoming irrelevant and will carry huge negative momentum into South Carolina. If Edwards doesn't win SC, he will drop out or become totally irrelevant and Obama will be the receipent of the Anti-Hillary vote en masse in the Democratic party and among the independents. My gut feeling is that Obama will win SC even though he is carrying negative momentum, due to his Oprah numbers in SC and because his back is to the wall there. I think Obama will win black votes for much the same reason Hilalry won NH --- because the black voters in SC won't want to kill his candidacy --- and will win the women voters becuase of the Oprah effect.

Considering this deeper, I think there is so much pressure on the Clinton and Obama camps, that Edwards will have an extremely difficult time winning more than 12% of the SC vote. He will be politically irrelevant in terms of being e legit candidate entering florida, with his only potential impact being a guy who can swing 4-5% of the vote in Florida against Obama. Will he deal? Hard to say. Obama and Edwards seem to legitimately not like each other. Edwards might think he has a little more pull with the Clinton camp, but IMO that would be incorrect. Clinton is a political opportunist trying to claim the title of change candidate and Edwards is yesterday's news. She may give him something, but it won't be high profile or important. My gut feeling is that is a lot more than Obama is personally willing to offer.