The Iowa Primary: early polling results.

Pulled from realclearpolitics.com

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/iowa-primary.html


"Election 2008 Iowa Primary polling

Iowa Democratic Caucus
Poll Date Sample Clinton Edwards Obama Richardson Spread
RCP Average 09/06 to 09/29 - 26.5 21.5 23.0 10.8 Clinton +3.5

American Res. Group 09/26 - 09/29 600 LV 30 19 24 10 Clinton +6
Newsweek 09/26 - 09/27 LV 24 22 28 10 Obama +4
Strategic Vision (R) 09/21 - 09/23 LV 24 22 21 13 Clinton +2
LA Times/Bloomberg 09/06 - 09/10 462 LV 28 23 19 10 Clinton +5 "

Click this link to see the dogfight in Iowa. Clinton is clearly not going to get spanked in Iowa and as such you will not see a Howard Dean type collapse, but if either of her competitors win Iowa it could turn them into legit contenders overnight. To me, it looks like Obama and crew have taken the advice of the only person in their campaign with any sense (michelle Obama) and now see Iowa for what it is --- their only hope of getting into this race.



"Iowa Republican Caucus
Poll Date Romney Giuliani Thompson Huckabee McCain Spread
RCP Average 09/06 to 09/29 26.0 16.8 15.3 8.0 8.3 Romney +9.2

American Res. Group 09/26 - 09/29 22 21 16 4 11 Romney +1
Newsweek 09/26 - 09/27 24 13 16 12 9 Romney +8
Strategic Vision (R) 09/21 - 09/23 30 17 13 8 6 Romney +13
LA Times/Bloomberg 09/06 - 09/10 28 16 16 8 7 Romney +12"

Click this link to see the Romney Strategy in Iowa. He has spent a lot of money over the last few months advertising in Iowa and has built up a sizeable lead. Now the other contenders are on to his strategy and are trying to eat into his lead in Iowa to become the candidate who gets the Iowa Primary "bounce to relevance".